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CANADIAN LOCAL TELECOM AND VoIP SERVICES MARKET REPORT
 

 

2005 EDITION


 

 

NBI/Michael Sone Associates Inc.
193 Church Street Toronto, ON
M5B 1Y7
Telephone: 416-360-0424
e-mail: msone@nbicanada.com


 

November 2005

 

 

 

Table of Contents

 

Section  Page
About This Report v
1.0   Introductiony  1
2.0   Local Services Market Participants  6
3.0   The Local Services Market Sized  8
3.1   Clarification and Definition 8
3.2   Overview  8
3.3   ILEC and Competitor Specifics  10
3.4   Growth Forecast  10
4.0    The Regulatory Environment 21
          Key Decisions 21
5.0     Trends in the Competitive Local Market 41
           5.1    Traditional Telephony Versus VoIP: A VoIP Primer 41
           5.2    Resellers/VoIP Service Providers 43
           5.3    CLECs 47
           5.4    Cable Companies 49
           5.5    ILECs 51
           5.6    Mobile Wireless 52
6.0     Trends in the Competitive Local Market 54
           6.1    Aliant 54
           6.2    AOL Canada 60
           6.3    babyTEL 63
           6.4    Bell Canada 68
           6.5    Bell in B.C. and Alberta 80
           6.6    Cogeco 84
           6.7    Comwave 87
           6.8    EastLink 91
           6.9    FCI Broadband 96
           6.10  MTS Allstream 101
           6.11  Navigata 107
           6.12  Primus 111
           6.13  Rogers Telecom Inc. 117
           6.14  Shaw 125
           6.15  Telus - the ILEC and the CLEC 127
           6.16  Telus - the ILEC 128
           6.17  Telus – the CLEC 134
           6.18  Vidéotron Ltd./Vidéotron Telecom Ltd. 138
           6.19  Vonage 144
           6.20  Yak Communications 148

 

 

LIST OF EXHIBITS

 

Exhibit   Page
Exhibit 1 WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS LINES BY PROVINCE (AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2004)  13
Exhibit 2A  WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS LINES BY CITY (CMA) (AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2004) 13
Exhibit 2B PROJECTED MARKET SHARE OF WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS LINES BY CITY (CMA)
(FORECAST TO END-2005)
14
Exhibit 3 ILEC WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS LINES (2003–2008) 16
Exhibit 4  LINES SERVING ILEC CUSTOMERS (2003–2008) 16
Exhibit 5 TOTAL ILEC LOCAL SERVICES REVENUE (2003–2008) 16
Exhibit 6  COMPETITOR SHARE OF TOTAL WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS LINES (2003–2008) 17
Exhibit 7 COMPETITOR SHARE OF TOTAL WIRELINE LOCAL SERVICES REVENUE (2003–2008) 17
Exhibit 8A SUMMARY OF COMPETITOR WIRELINE RESIDENTIAL LINES AND REVENUE (2003–2005) 18
Exhibit 8B SUMMARY OF COMPETITOR WIRELINE BUSINESS LINES AND REVENUE (2003–2005) 18
Exhibit 9 WIRELINE ACCESS LINE SHARE BY RESIDENTIAL AND BUSINESS SEGMENT (2003–2008) 19
Exhibit 10 REVENUE SHARE BY RESIDENTIAL AND BUSINESS SEGMENT (2003–2008) 19
Exhibit 11 WIRELINE VOIP RESIDENTIAL SUBSCRIBERS AND BUSINESS LINES (2004–2008) 20
Exhibit 12 WIRELINE VOIP MKT. SHARE BY RES. SUBSCRIBERS AND BUS. LINES (2005-2008) 20
Exhibit 13 ALIANT RESULTS AND FORECAST (2003–2005) 59
Exhibit 14 BELL CANADA (ILEC) BUSINESS AND RESIDENTIAL BUNDLES 78
Exhibit 15 BELL CANADA (ILEC) RESULTS AND FORECAST (2003–2005) 79
Exhibit 16 ALLSTREAM RESULTS AND FORECAST (2003–2005) 106
Exhibit 17 TELUS (ILEC) BUSINESS AND RESIDENTIAL BUNDLES 132
Exhibit 18 TELUS (ILEC) RESULTS AND FORECAST (2003– 2005) 133
   

 

 

About This Report

 

At 150 pages, this is NBI/Michael Sone Associates’ sixth report on the Canadian Local Telecom Services Market. The extensive primary research that is the hallmark of all NBI/Michael Sone Associates’ reports was carried out over the past several months as the local services market has undergone many changes. Information, both quantitative and qualitative, was analyzed and organized so as to provide the reader with a detailed understanding of the background, current state and probable future of the local services sector. The final product, Canadian Local Telecom and VoIP Services Market Report, 2005 Edition, is the most detailed research report available on this industry.

The local services market will experience a myriad of developments over the coming months that NBI/Michael Sone Associates will continue to track.

Following an introduction and definition of Local and VoIP services and participant sectors in Sections 1 and 2, NBI/Michael Sone Associates provides detailed quantitative data in Section 3 that measures the size of the market, the growth for incumbents and new entrants in both the business and residential sectors over a six-year period (2003 to 2008), and forecasts the share of the market by lines and revenues to be held by the various participants. Included as well are forecasts for the VoIP market, segmented by industry sector (ILEC, cableco, etc.) and by business versus consumer. (It should be noted that all reference to “lines” within the report refers to wireline local access lines unless explicitly stated otherwise.)

Section 4 discusses the regulatory issues germane to the industry while Section 5 looks at the prospects for competition trends within various industry segments, with a focus on how VoIP is changing the competitive paradigm, putting the ILECs on the defensive for the first time with respect to local residential services.

Section 6 presents the all-important 19 Corporate Profiles that provide a wealth of qualitative and quantitative information about the companies that are already participants in the local services market as well as those who are at various stages of planning their entry. Subjects covered include marketing strategy, product development, competitive positioning, bundles, pricing and impacts of regulatory developments.

The report is supported by 20 comprehensive Exhibits that examine line counts, revenues, business and residential analysis, bundling, and provincial and city-specific data.

 
 

 

 

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